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Philosophical Papers Volume II$
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David Lewis

Print publication date: 1987

Print ISBN-13: 9780195036466

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0195036468.001.0001

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Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities

Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities

(p.133) Twenty Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities
Philosophical Papers Volume II

David Lewis

Oxford University Press

In this paper, the view that probabilities of conditionals are conditional probabilities is rejected on the grounds that there is no satisfactory way of interpreting a conditional connective such that the probabilities of conditionals will equal appropriate conditional probabilities. The paper contains a postscript where the theory of indicative conditionals proposed is rejected, and an alternative theory developed by Jackson is endorsed instead.

Keywords:   assertability, conditionals, indicative conditionals, Frank Jackson, probability, Stalnaker

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