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Electoral Systems and Democratization in Southern Africa$
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Andrew Reynolds

Print publication date: 1999

Print ISBN-13: 9780198295105

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0198295103.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (oxford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 26 October 2021

Defining and Measuring the Trajectory of Democratization

Defining and Measuring the Trajectory of Democratization

(p.20) 1 Defining and Measuring the Trajectory of Democratization
Electoral Systems and Democratization in Southern Africa

Andrew Reynolds (Contributor Webpage)

Oxford University Press

This is the first of four chapters that discusses the theoretical underpinnings of the research on democratization in southern Africa that is described in the book. It qualitatively and quantitatively assesses the trajectory of the five case studies along the lines of their political stability, ethnic accommodation, and the long-term prospects for democratic accommodation. In attempting to find useful indicators of the trajectory of democratization in each of the five country case studies, six possible approaches are considered: political violence (the measurement of politically related deaths), economic indicators, political and societal indicators (political rights and civil liberties; media freedom and influence), electoral indicators (turnout; spoilt ballots), and ethnic accommodation (worsening ethnic and interregional relations, as exemplified by Zambia and Malawi; improving ethnic relations, as exemplified by Namibia and South Africa; and ethnic relations with an uncertain trajectory, as exemplified by Zimbabwe). Eight institutional indices of democratization are chosen from these: ethnic accommodation, political violence, economic performance, civil liberties, political rights, free media, electoral turnout, and spoilt ballots. The findings on these indicators for each case study are summarised in a table.

Keywords:   case studies, civil liberties, democratic accommodation, democratization, economic performance, electoral turnout, ethnic accommodation, ethnic relations, indicators, institutional indicators, Malawi, media freedom, Namibia, political rights, political stability, political violence, politically related deaths, South Africa, southern Africa, spoilt ballots, Zambia, Zimbabwe

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