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Third Force PoliticsLiberal Democrats at the Grassroots$
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Paul Whiteley, Patrick Seyd, and Antony Billinghurst

Print publication date: 2006

Print ISBN-13: 9780199242825

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2006

DOI: 10.1093/0199242828.001.0001

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(p.170) 8 Conclusions
Third Force Politics

Paul Whiteley (Contributor Webpage)

Patrick Seyd (Contributor Webpage)

Antony Billinghurst

Oxford University Press

This chapter examines the political prospects of the Liberal Democrat Party. The big question is whether or not it can replace its rivals as the second, or even the first, party of British electoral politics. It begins with an analysis of the necessary conditions for the Liberal Democrats to replace one of the other parties as the second party of British politics. This leads into an examination of the likelihood that these conditions will be met in the foreseeable future. The evidence suggests that the party has a real opportunity to break the existing two-party hegemony at a general election in 2009 or 2010.

Keywords:   Liberal Democrat Party, Labour Party, Conservative Party, election, electoral reform, parliament, political forecast

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