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Bayesian Nets and CausalityPhilosophical and Computational Foundations$
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Jon Williamson

Print publication date: 2004

Print ISBN-13: 9780198530794

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2007

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198530794.001.0001

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Bayesian Nets and Causality

Jon Williamson (Contributor Webpage)

Oxford University Press

This chapter develops an epistemic theory of causality. The origins of such a theory may be found in the writings of Kant and Ramsey. According to the epistemic theory, we think in terms of cause and effect because it is convenient to do so, not because our causal claims latch on to a physical causal connection. A formal causal epistemology is put forward, and it is argued that this approach provides a synthesis of the hypothetico-deductive and inductive accounts of causal discovery. Analogies between epistemic causality and objective Bayesianism are highlighted.

Keywords:   epistemic theory, Kant, Ramsey, hypothetico-deductive, inductive

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