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Strategy and Defence Planning – Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty - Oxford Scholarship Online
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Strategy and Defence Planning: Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty

Colin S. Gray


This book explores and examines the problems that every political community must attempt to meet in providing for national security in the future through purposeful defence preparation. The book accepts as a defining contextual quality for its subject the fact that the future is neither known nor reliably knowable. This unavoidable ignorance constitutes the core of the challenge that has to be met by all states. The author explains that it is parametric for defence planning that no specific detail about the future obtainable understanding of permanent certainty of this fact is often resisted b ... More

Keywords: strategy, planning, historical experience, risk, defence analysis, prudence, contingency, anticipation, political process, social sciences

Bibliographic Information

Print publication date: 2014 Print ISBN-13: 9780198701842
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: August 2014 DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198701842.001.0001


Affiliations are at time of print publication.

Colin S. Gray, author
Professor of International Politics and Strategic Studies, University of Reading