Second-order methods for error propagation in variational data assimilation
Second-order methods for error propagation in variational data assimilation
This chapter discusses the use of second-order methods for estimating error propagation in variational data assimilation. The basic variational approach to data assimilation exhibits the optimality system: it can be considered as a generalized model containing all the available information. To estimate the impact of errors due to the parameters of the model and/or to the observations, it is necessary to consider second-order properties. The variational approach can be used to estimate the propagation of uncertainties in the analysis. Two basic cases are considered. In the deterministic framework, the uncertainty is a virtual and deterministic perturbation on the model parameters, whose impact on some criterion is to be found. In the stochastic framework, the uncertainty is a random variable transported by the model as such. The output is a stochastic perturbation on the outputs of the analysis, for which it is necessary to determine its probabilistic characteristics.
Keywords: data assimilation, variational approach, optimality system, error propagation, second order, deterministic framework, stochastic framework
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