Dull Disasters?: How planning ahead will make a difference
Daniel J. Clarke and Stefan Dercon
Abstract
Economic losses from disasters are now reaching an average of
US$250–$300 billion a year. In the last 20 years, more than 530,000 people died as a direct result
of extreme weather events; millions more were seriously injured. Most of the deaths and serious
injuries were in developing countries. Meanwhile, highly infectious diseases will continue to emerge
or re-emerge, and natural hazards will not disappear. But these extreme events do not need to turn
into large-scale disasters. Better and fast ... More
Economic losses from disasters are now reaching an average of
US$250–$300 billion a year. In the last 20 years, more than 530,000 people died as a direct result
of extreme weather events; millions more were seriously injured. Most of the deaths and serious
injuries were in developing countries. Meanwhile, highly infectious diseases will continue to emerge
or re-emerge, and natural hazards will not disappear. But these extreme events do not need to turn
into large-scale disasters. Better and faster responses are possible. The authors contend that even
though there is much generosity in the world to support the responses to and recovery from natural
disasters, the current funding model, based on mobilizing financial resources after disasters take
place, is flawed and makes responses late, fragmented, unreliable, and poorly targeted, while
providing poor incentives for preparedness or risk reduction. The way forward centres around
reforming the funding model for disasters, moving towards plans with simple rules for early action
and that are locked in before disasters through credible funding strategies—all while resisting the
allure of post-disaster discretionary funding and the threat it poses for those seeking to ensure
that disasters have a less severe impact.
Keywords:
natural disaster,
extreme event,
pandemic,
disaster risk finance,
time inconsistency,
commitment device,
planning,
behavioural psychology,
politics of disaster relief
Bibliographic Information
| Print publication date: 2016 |
Print ISBN-13: 9780198785576 |
| Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: June 2016 |
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198785576.001.0001 |
Authors
Affiliations are at time of print publication.
Daniel J. Clarke, author
Senior Insurance Specialist, World Bank Group-GFDRR Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance
Program
Stefan Dercon, author
Professor of Economic Policy, University of Oxford, and Chief Economist of the UK
Department for International Development
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