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China ModernizesThreat to the West or Model for the Rest?$
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Randall Peerenboom

Print publication date: 2008

Print ISBN-13: 9780199226122

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: October 2011

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199226122.001.0001

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What if China democratizes? What if it doesn’t?

What if China democratizes? What if it doesn’t?

(p.257) Chapter Eight What if China democratizes? What if it doesn’t?
China Modernizes

Randall Peerenboom

Oxford University Press

This chapter examines the consequences of China democratizing and the possible domestic, economic, political, legal, and social development implications. It notes that democracy is most likely to be the result of evolution rather than revolution. The transition is more likely to involve a pact of the elite. However, it explains that democratic elections will not solve most of the problems China is facing or causing to other countries. It emphasizes the empirical record of other countries that democratized at lower wealth and why China does not want to risk democracy.

Keywords:   democracy, China, empirical record, elite, evolution, democratic elections, democratization

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