Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Making Social Sciences More ScientificThe Need for Predictive Models$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Rein Taagepera

Print publication date: 2008

Print ISBN-13: 9780199534661

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2008

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199534661.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (oxford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2020. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 29 September 2020

From Descriptive to Predictive Approaches

From Descriptive to Predictive Approaches

(p.187) 14 From Descriptive to Predictive Approaches
Making Social Sciences More Scientific

Rein Taagepera (Contributor Webpage)

Oxford University Press

Routine statistical approaches are essentially descriptive, giving answers within a narrow range of questions. Quantitatively formulated logical model force us to ask further questions and are predictive in an explanatory way. Descriptive approaches are not conducive to detection of social laws, especially if one simultaneously feeds in variables which actually connect sequentially. Rather than a single sequence of “hypothesis testing,” scientific procedure involves repeat cycles where predictive and descriptive approaches enter intermixed. Directional models and reams of numbers ground out by canned computer programs must make room for quantitative logical models and sparse conceptually grounded constants.

Keywords:   canned computer programs, conceptually grounded constants, descriptive approaches, hypothesis testing, logical models, predictive approaches, sequential variables, social laws

Oxford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .