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The Laws of BeliefRanking Theory and Its Philosophical Applications$
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Wolfgang Spohn

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199697502

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2012

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199697502.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (oxford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 18 October 2021

 The Probabilistic Way

 The Probabilistic Way

(p.32) 3 The Probabilistic Way
The Laws of Belief

Wolfgang Spohn

Oxford University Press

Probability theory will provide the all-important guide-line and standard of comparison of ranking theory, as it will be developed in this book. Therefore, this chapter provides a short introduction into Bayesian epistemology. However, as the lottery paradox shows, probability theory is unable to capture the notion of belief. This point initiates the subsequent exploration of how to construct a theory that is able to represent belief while preserving the epistemological virtues of probability theory.

Keywords:   subjective probability, bayesianism, conditionalization, popper measure, lottery paradox

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