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The Laws of BeliefRanking Theory and Its Philosophical Applications$
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Wolfgang Spohn

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199697502

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2012

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199697502.001.0001

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 The Probabilistic Way

 The Probabilistic Way

Chapter:
(p.32) 3 The Probabilistic Way
Source:
The Laws of Belief
Author(s):

Wolfgang Spohn

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199697502.003.0003

Probability theory will provide the all-important guide-line and standard of comparison of ranking theory, as it will be developed in this book. Therefore, this chapter provides a short introduction into Bayesian epistemology. However, as the lottery paradox shows, probability theory is unable to capture the notion of belief. This point initiates the subsequent exploration of how to construct a theory that is able to represent belief while preserving the epistemological virtues of probability theory.

Keywords:   subjective probability, bayesianism, conditionalization, popper measure, lottery paradox

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