Predicting the Next Attacks
Predicting the Next Attacks
American government officials would like academic experts on the Middle East and Islam to help predict the next terrorist attacks. However, terrorism is not easily susceptible to predictive models—it is largely the work of small, secretive groups that are constantly adapting to countermeasures. In addition, there is an ethical dilemma in casting suspicion on large groups of potential terrorists and in stoking unnecessary panic among potential victims. A sensible discussion of terrorist threats needs to balance two cherished ideals, security and liberty, without tilting too far in either direction.
Keywords: Islam, Islamic, Muslim, terror, terrorist, terrorism, academia, prediction
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