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The Rational SouthernerBlack Mobilization, Republican Growth, and the Partisan Transformation of the American South$
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M. V. Hood III, Quentin Kidd, and Irwin L. Morris

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199873821

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2012

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199873821.001.0001

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Putting Relative Advantage to the Test

Putting Relative Advantage to the Test

State-Level Republican Growth in the Modern American South

(p.99) Chapter 5 Putting Relative Advantage to the Test
The Rational Southerner

M. V. Hood III

Quentin Kidd

Irwin L. Morris

Oxford University Press

This chapter provides the first extensive empirical assessment of the theory of relative advantage. A panel Granger analysis based on nearly five decades of state-level data demonstrates that black mobilization influenced Republican growth in each of the Southern states. The chapter also includes results from time series cross-sectional analyses that clearly indicate that black mobilization played a more important role in the growth of Southern Republicanism than regional economic growth, black context, in-migration, or the growth of evangelicalism—all of which are competing explanations for GOP growth in the South. The analysis also demonstrates that the growing viability of Republican substate party organizations played a role in subsequent Republican growth in the electorate.

Keywords:   panel Granger analysis, time series cross-section analysis, in-migration, economic growth, evangelicalism, party organization, republican growth

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