Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Who Wins?Predicting Strategic Success and Failure in Armed Conflict$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Patricia Sullivan

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199878338

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2012

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199878338.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (oxford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 17 April 2021

Testing the Argument

Testing the Argument

(p.66) Chapter 4 Testing the Argument
Who Wins?

Patricia L. Sullivan

Oxford University Press

This chapter explains how historical data is employed here to evaluate how well the theory previously developed—referred to as the war aims model—stacks up against alternative explanations of violent conflict outcomes. It begins by asking what we would expect to observe if the model accurately represents the primary determinants of war outcomes. It derives specific, falsifiable hypotheses from this theory and the competing theories described in Chapter 1. It then discusses the data brought to bear on the problem and how the concepts are operationalized and measured in the hypotheses.

Keywords:   armed conflict outcomes, historical data, war aims model, operationalization, measurement

Oxford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .