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Who Wins?Predicting Strategic Success and Failure in Armed Conflict$
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Patricia Sullivan

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199878338

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2012

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199878338.001.0001

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(p.127) Chapter 7 Conclusion
Who Wins?

Patricia L. Sullivan

Oxford University Press

This concluding chapter discusses the theoretical and policy implications of the book's argument and empirical results. The theory of armed conflict outcomes developed attempts to unify previous theoretical work on the effects of military capability, resolve, and strategic selection on violent conflict outcomes. The policy implications of this approach are not as straightforward or prescriptive as decision-makers might like them to be. Nevertheless, it is hoped that recognizing how the utility of military force is dependent on the nature of one's political objectives will help leaders avoid steering their countries into wars that are unlikely to achieve their aims.

Keywords:   armed conflict outcomes, military capability, resolve, strategic selection

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