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Evidence-Based PolicyA Practical Guide to Doing It Better$
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Nancy Cartwright and Jeremy Hardie

Print publication date: 2012

Print ISBN-13: 9780199841608

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: February 2015

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199841608.001.0001

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The Theory That Backs Up What We Say

The Theory That Backs Up What We Say

Chapter:
(p.14) Chapter I.B The Theory That Backs Up What We Say
Source:
Evidence-Based Policy
Author(s):

Nancy Cartwright

Jeremy Hardie

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199841608.003.0002

This chapter presents a theoretical discussion of how predicting policy outcomes is really betting that the policy can play the right causal role in a given situation and that the given situation will have the right support factors to allow it to do so. It provides an abstract, high-level framework to justify the conclusion that we should look for causal roles and support factors.

Keywords:   policy outcomes, predictions, causal roles, support factors

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