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Upending American PoliticsPolarizing Parties, Ideological Elites, and Citizen Activists from the Tea Party to the Anti-Trump Resistance$
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Theda Skocpol and Caroline Tervo

Print publication date: 2020

Print ISBN-13: 9780190083526

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: January 2020

DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190083526.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (oxford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 11 April 2021

The Overlooked Organizational Basis of Trump’s 2016 Victory

The Overlooked Organizational Basis of Trump’s 2016 Victory

Chapter:
(p.79) 4 The Overlooked Organizational Basis of Trump’s 2016 Victory
Source:
Upending American Politics
Author(s):

Michael Zoorob

Theda Skocpol

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/oso/9780190083526.003.0004

Conventional wisdom claims that the Trump 2016 campaign was “disorganized,” but this judgment overlooks bargains with leaders of preexisting federated networks connected to millions of voters in pivotal states. Newly found data about the Fraternal Order of Police, the white police union, show that lodge and membership locations help predict Trump margins beyond other pro-GOP variables. Trump deliberately appealed to white police anger at the Black Lives Matter movement and (in a departure from his typical mass rallies) spoke in front of law-enforcement audiences. Similarly, Trump and his top lieutenants courted Christian right pastors and National Rifle Association leaders willing to disseminate campaign messages and mobilize followers in exchange for Trump’s promise to nominate right-wing Supreme Court justices. Many voters outside of big cities were receptive because they are embedded in evangelical and gun-friendly social networks and believe their lifeways are threatened by outside, liberal forces.

Keywords:   Fraternal Order of Police, National Rifle Association, NRA, Donald Trump, evangelical Christians, Jerry Falwell Jr., Hillary Clinton, gun owners, Supreme Court, Second Amendment

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