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Chance in the World – A Humean Guide to Objective Chance - Oxford Scholarship Online
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Chance in the World: A Humean Guide to Objective Chance

Carl Hoefer


This book argues that objective chance, or probability, should not be understood as a metaphysical primitive, nor as a dispositional property of certain systems (“propensity”). Given that traditional accounts of objective probability in terms of frequencies are widely agreed to be also untenable, there is a clear need for a new account that can overcome the problems of older views. A Humean, reductive analysis of objective chance is offered, one partially based on the work of David Lewis, but diverging from Lewis’ approach in many respects. It is shown that “Humean objective chances” (HOCs) ca ... More

Keywords: probability, objective chance, causation, time, credence, Principal Principle

Bibliographic Information

Print publication date: 2019 Print ISBN-13: 9780190907419
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: October 2019 DOI:10.1093/oso/9780190907419.001.0001


Affiliations are at time of print publication.

Carl Hoefer, author
ICREA Research Professor, Barcelona University