Line on Fire: Ceasefire Violations and India-Pakistan Escalation Dynamics
Happymon Jacob, Sumit Ganguly, and E. Sridharan
Abstract
The India–Pakistan border in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) has witnessed repeated ceasefire violations (CFVs) over the past decade. Indeed, with relations between India and Pakistan degrading, CFVs have gone up exponentially. These CFVs have the potential to not only begin a crisis but also escalate an ongoing one. To make things worse, in the event of major violations, political leadership on either side often engage in high-pitched rhetoric some of which even have nuclear undertones. Using fresh empirical data and oral history evidence, this book explains the causes of CFVs on the J&K border and e ... More
The India–Pakistan border in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) has witnessed repeated ceasefire violations (CFVs) over the past decade. Indeed, with relations between India and Pakistan degrading, CFVs have gone up exponentially. These CFVs have the potential to not only begin a crisis but also escalate an ongoing one. To make things worse, in the event of major violations, political leadership on either side often engage in high-pitched rhetoric some of which even have nuclear undertones. Using fresh empirical data and oral history evidence, this book explains the causes of CFVs on the J&K border and establishes a relationship between CFVs and crisis escalation between India and Pakistan. In doing so, the book further nuances the existing arguments about the escalatory dynamics between the two South Asian nuclear rivals. Furthermore, the book explains ceasefire violations using the concept of ‘autonomous military factors’.
Keywords:
India–Pakistan relations,
ceasefire violations,
crisis escalation,
escalation dynamics,
autonomous military factors,
Jammu and Kashmir,
Indian army,
Pakistan army
Bibliographic Information
| Print publication date: 2019 |
Print ISBN-13: 9780199489893 |
| Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2019 |
DOI:10.1093/oso/9780199489893.001.0001 |
Authors
Affiliations are at time of print publication.
Happymon Jacob, author
Associate Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University
Sumit Ganguly, series editor
Rabindranath Tagore Chair in Indian Cultures and Civilizations, Indiana University, Bloomington
E. Sridharan, series editor
Academic Director and Chief Executive, University of Pennsylvania Institute for the Advanced Study of India (UPIASI)
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